Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,253$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(479 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{8,563.0}{1 + 10^{-0.032 (t - 48.0)}}\) (asimptote \(8,563.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $522$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(94.5 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(20.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{479.9}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 24.2)}}\) (asimptote \(479.9\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,673$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,169$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(50.8 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{16,526.6}{1 + 10^{-0.025 (t - 100.5)}}\) (asimptote \(16,526.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $50$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(7.92 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(21.0\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{49.7}{1 + 10^{-0.030 (t - 31.3)}}\) (asimptote \(49.7\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $971$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(131 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(34.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{334.1}{1 + 10^{-0.103 (t - 15.2)}}\) (asimptote \(334.1\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(4.43 \times 10^{0.008t}\) (doubling rate \(37.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.7}{1 + 10^{-0.085 (t - 11.6)}}\) (asimptote \(9.7\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $0$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $10,431$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(389 \times 10^{0.024t}\) (doubling rate \(12.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{23,266.5}{1 + 10^{-0.031 (t - 63.9)}}\) (asimptote \(23,266.5\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $556$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(56.7 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{657.7}{1 + 10^{-0.040 (t - 35.8)}}\) (asimptote \(657.7\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $7,389$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,800$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(273 \times 10^{0.019t}\) (doubling rate \(15.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{3,513.3}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 39.6)}}\) (asimptote \(3,513.3\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $136$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(7.12 \times 10^{0.028t}\) (doubling rate \(10.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{368.8}{1 + 10^{-0.034 (t - 53.0)}}\) (asimptote \(368.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,121$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $6,512$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(519 \times 10^{0.020t}\) (doubling rate \(15.2\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{7,247.3}{1 + 10^{-0.043 (t - 39.1)}}\) (asimptote \(7,247.3\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $188$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(49.1 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{181.5}{1 + 10^{-0.063 (t - 19.0)}}\) (asimptote \(181.5\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,193$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $522$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(12.8 \times 10^{0.029t}\) (doubling rate \(10.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{488.7}{1 + 10^{-0.078 (t - 41.3)}}\) (asimptote \(488.7\))
Start date 2020-04-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $6$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $503$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,004$ on 2020-05-13
Best fit exponential: \(4.82 \times 10^{0.042t}\) (doubling rate \(7.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $9$ on 2020-05-13
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $843$ on 2020-05-13